Difference between revisions of "CONVERSATIONS"

From Knowledge Federation
Jump to: navigation, search
m
Line 105: Line 105:
 
</div>  
 
</div>  
 
----
 
----
 
TO BE CONTINUED...
 
 
<!--
 
 
 
<div class="row">
 
<div class="row">
<div class="col-md-3"><h2>The Wiener's paradox</h2></div>
+
<div class="col-md-3"><h2>Wiener's paradox</h2></div>
<div class="col-md-7">
+
<div class="col-md-7"><h3>No communication – no control</h3>
 +
<p>Let's begin with the first [[threads|<em>thread</em>]], in the upper left corner.</p>
 +
<p>The issue here is the steering of "spaceship Earth" (as Fuller called it, he too 50 years ago), whether its pilots can at all navigate or not – which should be of some interest if we indeed are living in a "runaway world" (as Giddens diagnosed), and if we indeed <em>must</em> find a way to change course (as Peccei claimed). </p>
 +
<p>Norbert Wiener was recognized as exceptionally gifted while he was still a child. He studied mathematics, zoology and philosophy, and finally got his doctorate in mathematical logic from Harvard, when he was only 17. Wiener went on to do seminal work in several fields, one of which was cybernetics.</p>
 +
<p>The following excerpt from Wiener's 1948 book Cybernetics (the science of steering), specifically from its last chapter titled  "Information, Language and Society", will get us started. 
 +
<blockquote>
 +
There is a belief, current in many countries, which has been elevated to the rank of an official article of faith in the United States, that free competition is itself a homeostatic process (...). Unfortunately, the evidence, such as it is, is against this simple-minded theory.</blockquote> </p>
 +
<p>Interpret "homeostatic process" as "steering" are you've got Wiener's point.</p>
 +
<p>Or to be exact – <em>one half</em>  of Wiener's point.</p>
 +
<p>The other half is that our communication is broken. How else could we believe in this "simple-minded theory", Wiener argues, considering what von Neumann and Morgenstern (another pair of [[giants|<em>giants</em>]]; Von Neumann's history is parallel to Wiener's; his many seminal achievements include the digital computer architecture that is still in use) found by studying the game theory (which they founded together). And Wiener continues by summarizing their insights, and explaining how they are confirmed by everyday experience.</p>  
  
<h3>Control depends on communication</h3>
+
<h3>The invisible hand wins</h3>
<p>Norbert Wiener was recognized as exceptionally gifted while he was still a child. He studied mathematics, zoology and philosophy, and finally got his doctorate in mathematical logic from Harvard, when he was only 17. Wiener went on to do seminal work in several distinct fields, one of which was cybernetics.</p>
+
<p>We've talked about Erich Jantsch's seminal ideas in Federation through Stories, so let's just fast-forward to Ronald Reagan and to this [[threads|<em>thread</em>]]'s conclusion.</p>  
<p>We'll now let you in on some observations from Wiener's 1948 book Cybernetics, and specifically from its last chapter, "Information, Language and Society". If his technical language is unfamiliar, you may interpret the word "homeostasis" simply as the capability of the Modernity vehicle (or of any of our specific institutions or systems) to steer a viable course.
+
<p>In 1980, when Erich Jantsch passed away, Ronald Reagan became the 40th U.S. president. His message to the world – his winning agenda – was
 
<blockquote>  
 
<blockquote>  
In connection with the effective amount of communal information, one of the most surprising facts (...) is its extreme lack of efficient homeostatic process. There is a belief, current in many countries, which has been elevated to the rank of an official article of faith in the United States, that free competition is itself a homeostatic process: that in a free market the individual selfishness of the bargainers, each seeking to sell as high and buy as low as possible, will result in the end in a stable dynamics of prices, and with redound to the greatest common good. This is associated with the very comforting view that the individual entrepreneur, in seeking to forward his own interest, is in some manner a public benefactor and thus has earned the great rewards with which society has showered him. Unfortunately, the evidence, such as it is, is against this simple-minded theory.</blockquote> </p>  
+
In our present crisis, government is not the solution to our problem. Government <em>is</em> the problem</blockquote>  
<p>If "the invisible hand" is not to be relied on, then what might be the alternative? </p>
+
which, of course, meant that "the invisible hand" of the market is the only thing we can rely on.</p>  
<p>Wiener's point is that suitable information must be our guide.</p>  
+
<p>By voting in this way, the American people didn't ignore only the core messages of Norbert Wiener and Erich Jantsch, but also thousands of articles in cybernetics (or more generally the systems sciences) and game theory. </p>
<p>Or more concretely, that we must study how the structure of natural and human-made systems influences their behavior. That we must use the results of that study to develop and manage all our socio-technical systems – and in particular those core ones that determine the course of all other ones, such as our knowledge work and our governance.</p>
 
<p>In this way Wiener made a case for cybernetics as a new discipline, whose role is to provide the knowledge that is lacking. The complete title of his seminal book is "Cybernetics: Or Control and Communication in the Animal and the Machine". </p>  
 
  
<h3>The invisible hand cannot be trusted</h3>  
+
<h3>There's no need for censorship</h3>  
<p>To support the quoted point, that the invisible hand cannot be relied on, Wiener points to insights of another pair of [[giants|<em>giants</em>]], John von Neumann and Oskar Morgenstern, reached through the study of the game theory, which they established together (Von Neumann's story is parallel to Wiener's; his many seminal achievements include the digital computer architecture that is still in use). Wiener also points out how those insights are confirmed in everyday experiences with economy and politics.</p>  
+
<p>So by following this [[threads|<em>thread</em>]], we've reached also the second point (which is really what the [[Wiener's paradox|<em>Wiener's paradox</em>]] as [[patterns|<em>pattern</em>]] is pointing to) – namely that academic research may not have <em>any</em> impact on public opinion – <em>on pivotal issues</em> whatsoever! </p>
 +
<p> In a society where the powerful media are used to only <em>broadcast</em> information, it's no longer the strength of the argument, but the campaign dollars and the "air time" they buy that decides what we the people are going to think and believe.</p>
 +
<p>And what direction "spaceship Earth" is going to take.</p>
 +
<p>See [https://youtu.be/0141gupAryM?t=95 this video snippet] where Ronald Reagan says
 +
<blockquote>
 +
We believe then, and now, there are no limits to growth, and human progress, when men and women are free to follow their dreams
 +
</blockquote>
 +
to get an idea how also the effects of The Club of Rome's "The Limits to Growth" study could have been erased. </p>
 +
</div></div>
  
<h3>Our communication is broken</h3>
 
<p>How can we continue to believe in "the invisible hand" in spite of such evidence?</p>
 
<p> Wiener echoes a core insight of another [[giants|<em>giant</em>]], Vannevar Bush, (whom we've mentioned on our front page and of whom we'll say more below) to conclude that our society's communication is broken – and he uses this conclusion as an additional strong reason for developing and using cybernetics. </p> 
 
  
<h3>To steer a sustainable coure, we must be able to update our institutions</h3>
+
TO BE CONTINUED...
<p>We have shared Erich Jantsch's core ideas  in Federation through Stories. We let the following excerpt from his last book, "The Self-Organizing Universe" (in which the emphasis is ours) serve as a concise summary – highlighting once again his conclusion we used here as the title,  at the same time pointing to the importance he attributed to the question with which the excerpt begins.
 
<blockquote>
 
And how is evolution to continue in the human world? Has it, as some hold, become caught in a net of coercifve factors in which it is ever more inextricably entangled with every motion? (...) I believe that <b>the most important task today</b> is the searrch for new degrees of freedom to facilitate the living out of evolutionary processes. It is of prime importance that the openness of the inner world for which no limitations are yet in sight, is matched by a similar openness of the outer world, and that it tries actively to establish the latter. I believe that the sociocultural man in "co-evolution with himself" basically has the possibility of creating the conditions for his further evolution—much as life on earth, since its first appeareance 4000 million years ago, has always created the conditions for its own evolution toward higher complexity. </blockquote> </p>
 
  
<h3>How the invisible hand remained our guide</h3>
+
<!--  
<p>In 1980, when this book was published, and when Erich Jantsch passed away, Ronald Reagan became the 40th U.S. president. His message to the world – his winning agenda – was
 
<blockquote>
 
In our present crisis, government is not the solution to our problem. Government <em>is</em> the problem.</blockquote>
 
This meant, of course, that "the invisible hand" of the market is the only thing we can rely on. And that we run  into problems as soon as we (that is, our governments) interfere with it.</p>
 
<p>By voting in this way, the American people didn't ignore only the core messages of Norbert Wiener and Erich Jantsch. Just after Wiener published his book, the research in game theory focusing on a phenomenon called "prisoner's dilemma" virtually exploded, resulting in several thousands of publications. The prisoner's dilemma models the real-life situations where collaboration leads to a better situation for <em>everyone</em> – and yet where the perfectly rational players will choose to dissent and compete. Isn't that our root issue in a nutshell?</p>
 
<p>The scientific production in cybernetics or the systems sciences grew even faster – and its results too were ignored.</p>
 
<p>"The invisible hand" as the evolutionary doctrine, and the corresponding way of evolving – where the market, or the money, decides – became our "evolutionary guidance"; and remained that until today.</p>
 
 
 
<h3>There's no need for censorship</h3>
 
<p>It was during Nickson's presidency,  and well before the Web, that Italo Calvino pointed to the root of this problem in an interview. He pointed out that censorship is no longer needed, by comparing the New York times with Pravda, and observing that whatever was achieved by censorship in the latter, it was effectively implemented by overabundance of information in the former. </p>
 
<p>Recall Galilei in house prison. Could it indeed be the case that there's no longer need to confine [[giants|<em>giants</em>]] to house arrest, or to forbid or burn their books?</p>
 
<p> In a society where the powerful media are used to only <em>broadcast</em> information, it's no longer the strength of the argument, but the campaign dollars and the "air time" they buy that decides what we the people are going to think and believe. And what direction our socio-cultural or socio-technological evolution will take.</p>
 
 
<h3>We are not facing a problem but a paradox</h3>
 
<p>
 
<blockquote>
 
As long as a paradox is treated as a problem, it can never be dissolved
 
</blockquote>
 
observed David Bohm.</p>
 
<p>We can already see the [[patterns|<em>pattern</em>]] we call [[Wiener's paradox|<em>Wiener's paradox</em>]]. </p>
 
<p>We use it to point to a pervasive phenomenon – that academic results are created, and then ignored. </p>
 
<p>Wiener's just mentioned insight is an especially interesting instance of this [[patterns|<em>pattern</em>]], because it was meant to point to that pattern itself – and to the way to overcome it, by taking systemic evolution in knowledge work, and beyond, into our own hands.</p>
 
<p>This instance is furthermore interesting to us because of the paradox  that Norbert Wiener and the systems sciences created – by committing their insights to the same communication or feedback-and-control system that, as Wiener diagnosed, is broken:  Wiener wrote <em>a book</em>; cybernetics, and the systems sciences, organised themselves as <em>academic disciplines</em>. </p> </div></div>
 
-----
 
<div class="row">
 
<div class="col-md-3"><h2 style="color:red">Reflection</h2></div>
 
<div class="col-md-7"><h3>The consequences of the paradox</h3>
 
<p>You may reflect on your own – and we may also reflect together, in a conversation. In either case the purpose of these reflections is to connect the dots. </p>
 
<p>In [[knowledge federation|<em>knowledge federation</em>]] we in particular want to connect the abstract with the concrete,  the general direction-setting principle with the bothersome phenomena we experience daily. </p>
 
<p>So let's begin this reflection with Donald Trump – who has to many academic people become a symbol of dwindling standards in political discourse; and in political decision making; and of the academic cause losing its bearings in economic and political reality. Enough has been said about Trump in the media; and we won't even mention him further. We only point to him as a phenomenon, and invite you to see how the trend he may represent as an icon follows from the general insights we've been discussing.</p>
 
<p>Here's a good way to begin the ascent from where we at the moment to the bold generalization we made in the title: Recall the efforts on the part of The Club of Rome to draw attention to the key issue of growth, through The Limits to Growth study. Recall Engelbart's observation (made his second slide at Google)  that our civilisation is lacking 'brakes'. Use this metaphor to reflect on the urgency of this matter...  Then hear [https://youtu.be/0141gupAryM?t=95 this video snippet] where Ronald Reagan is saying, <em>in a most seductive tone of voice</em>,
 
<blockquote>
 
We believe then, and now, there are no limits to growth, and human progress, when men and women are free to follow their dreams.
 
</blockquote> </p>
 
<p>Think about what this means, more abstractly. Can you see parts of our collective mind trying with all their might to think thoughts of relevance and meaning – and being swamped by politically motivated sugary nonsense! How is this possible? Just compare the broadcasting power of Norbert Wiener or Erich Jantsch with the broadcasting power of the United States president, and the answer will be clear.</p>
 
<p>Consider, further, that our issue at hand is our "evolutionary guidance"; and whether academic ideas have impact or not; and whether information technology is helping us evolve toward "collective intelligence" or collective stupidity –  and you'll have no difficulty understanding our motivation.</p>   
 
</div></div>
 
 
----
 
----
 
<div class="row">
 
<div class="row">

Revision as of 20:42, 7 December 2018

The paradigm strategy

Putting our proposal to test

So far we have given a fairly complete overview of an emerging approach to knowledge (or more technically speaking of an emerging paradigm in knowledge work). What remains is to test this new approach to knowledge by applying it to a practical theme. And by doing that – to put it to practical use.

We began this proposal by talking about an impending Enlightenment-like change; and about an approach to knowledge that can bring it it into being. Now that we've described that approach to knowledge – should we not use it to shed some light on the alluring opportunity we started with?

We shall do that by weaving together or federating insights of giants in the humanities and in the world traditions.

We'll conclude by summarizing our argument – the case for knowledge federation as a new paradigm in knowledge work, and as a new institution capable of developing it as praxis.

Designing the social life of ideas

Notice this subtlety: A novelty in this approach to knowledge is that it cannot and doesn't want to tell how the things "really are in reality". Its purpose is to allow for free creation of a multiplicity of ways of looking at any single theme – and to let them act upon each other.

Communication in this new approach to knowledge is not and cannot be one-way.

By designing and evolving these conversations, we will be developing a new form of social life, where people and ideas interact and improve one another.

We could talk about anything

What subject of conversation do you find most interesting? Education? Or democracy? Or what to do about the large contemporary issues? We could focus on any theme of your choice. And still our conversation is likely to be different from any you've had.

What makes the difference is the single overarching principle we've been discussing from our very first page – where education, and democracy, and anything else that might interest you, is seen within a larger system or a hierarchy of systems. We are already accustomed to perceiving those systems as gigantic socio-technical mechanism, which determine how we live and work. And whether our work will cause more damage, or bring remedy.

What might public informing be like, if we should claim it back from "the invisible hand" (or more precisely from "the attention economy" – see intuitive introduction to systemic thinking) – and develop it as a core system on which all other systems in our society depend? What practical difference might such a public informing make? We can explore similar questions about academic research, or healthcare, or any other activity or system of your choice.

Let's focus on the key point

And yet there is a single theme, which – in this systemic approach to knowledge, and to institutions and issues – must be given priority. There is a single overarching insight that needs to put into a perspective everything else.

Neil Postman gave us this hint:

The problem now is not to get information to people, but how to get some meaning of what's happening.(...) Even the great story of inductive science has lost a good deal of its meaning, because it does not address several questions that all great narratives must address: Where we come from; what's going to happen to us; where we are going, that is; and what we're supposed to do when we are here. Science couldn't answer that; and technology doesn't.

Aurelio Peccei, as we have seen, gave us another hing:

It is absolutely necessary to find a way to change course.

Is it, really?

And if it is – in what way could that realistically be achieved?

Large change made easy

Donella Meadows talked about systemic leverage points as those places within a complex system "where a small shift in one thing can produce big changes in everything". She identified "the mindset or paradigm out of which the goals, rules, feedback structure arise" as the most impactful kind of systemic leverage point. She identified specifically working with the "power to transcend paradigms" – i.e. with the assumptions and ways of being out of which paradigms emerge – as the most impactful way to intervene into systems.

We are about to propose – as an overarching theme for our various conversations – to approach our contemporary condition in this most powerful way.

While proposing what we are calling the paradigm strategy, we are not proposing to replace the heroic efforts of our colleagues who are focusing on specific issues such as the millennium development goals or the climate change. We are only proposing a way to vastly augment their chances to succeed.

And to turn problems into opportunities; to engage enthusiasm, entrepreneurial spirit and creativity.


These conversations are dialogs

We are not just talking

Don't be deceived by this word, "conversations". These conversations are where the true action begins.

By developing these dialogs, we want to develop a way to bring the themes that matter into the focus of the public eye. We want to bring the insights of giants to bear upon our understanding and handling of those themes. And we want to engage us all to collaborate on combining those insights with everyone else's, and evolving them further.

The purpose of these conversations is to create a public discourse that works; which makes us collectively creative, knowledgeable and intelligent. We want to evolve in practice, with the help of new media and real-life, artistic situation design, a public sphere in which the themes, the events and the sensations are the stepping stones in our advancement toward a new cultural and social order.

The medium we'll develop will truly be our message!

Changing the world by changing the way we communicate

There is a way of listening and speaking that fits our purpose quite snugly. Physicist David Bohm called it the dialogue, and we'll build further on his ideas and the ideas of others, and weave them together into another one of our keywords, the dialog.

Bohm considered the dialogue to be necessary for resolving our contemporary entanglement. Here is how he described it.

I give a meaning to the word 'dialogue' that is somewhat different from what is commonly used. The derivations of words often help to suggest a deeper meaning. 'Dialogue' comes from the Greek word dialogos. Logos means 'the word' or in our case we would think of the 'meaning of the word'. And dia means 'through' - it doesn't mean two. A dialogue can be among any number of people, not just two. Even one person can have a sense of dialogue within himself, if the spirit of the dialogue is present. The picture of image that this derivation suggests is of a stream of meaning flowing among and through us and between us. This will make possible a flow of meaning in the whole group, out of which will emerge some new understanding. It's something new, which may not have been in the starting point at all. It's something creative. And this shared meaning is the 'glue' or 'cement' that holds people and societies together.

Contrast this with the word 'discussion', which has the same root as 'percussion' an 'concussion'. It really means to break things up. It emphasises the idea of analysis, where there may be many points of view. Discussion is almost like a Ping-Pong game, where people are batting the ideas back and forth and the object of the game is to win or to get points for yourself. Possibly you will take up somebody else's ideas to back up your own - you may agree with some and disagree with others- but the basic point is to win the game. That's very frequently the case in a discussion.

In a dialogue, however, nobody is trying to win. Everybody wins if anybody wins. There is a different sort of spirit to it. In a dialogue, there is no attempt to gain points, or to make your particular view prevail. Rather, whenever any mistake is discovered on the part of anybody, everybody gains. It's a situation called win-win, in which we are not playing a game against each other but with each other. In a dialogue, everybody wins.

Real reality shows

Two people could be talking over a coffee table. If they turn on a smartphone and record, their conversation can already become part of the global one.

What we, however, primarily have in mind are public dialogs that begins in physical space and continue online.

We have a hunch that such dialogs could become true sensations!

What could be more real, and more downright engaging, than watching a new Renaissance emerge? Hearing its pulse, feeling its birth pains...

Already seeing our resistance to this emergence, our blind spots, our reluctance to make a step – can be sensational!


The Paradigm Strategy poster

A roadmap for guided evolution of society

We have developed the Paradigm Strategy poster as a evolving roadmap to the key point (an overarching collectively created and shared insight or gestalt, a wormhole into a new social and cultural paradigm, a practical "way to change course").

The idea is to engage everyone's collective intelligence toward developing an overarching key insight, but not only. We shall also put on our map the relevant insights of giants, so that while dialoging we may "stand on their shnoulders" and see further. The results of each dialog are federated (with the help of suitable technology such as the Debategraph), the map is updated if necessary, and the whole thing is offered as a starting point for the next dialog, to develop further.

PSwithFredrik.jpeg

Fredrik Eive Refsli, the leader of our communication design team, jubilates the completion of The Paradigm Strategy poster.

We recommend that you look at the poster as we speak.

You may imagine the left-hand side of the poster, which has the yellow background, as a roadmap for a collective ascent to the key point in the middle of the poster, which is a mountain top and a view from that mountain top. Four ways are offered to reach it (you may imagine them as corresponding to four sides of the mountain, or as four aspects of the key point).

The right-hand side of the poster, with white background, shows ways to realize the overarching vision after it has been reached, by first identifying design patterns, and then implementing them within prototypes.

The poster as it is now represents a starting point – how we see the key point and the way to it now, before the dialogs have begun.

The key point offered is in essence what we've presented on the front page, with the help of the bus with candle headlights or the Modernity ideogram. The idea is to challenge the paradigm, the way of evolving culturally and socially, which is marked by unwavering faith in "free competition" and "the invisible hand" – and see if we can empower the use knowledge as guiding light.

Close to the dividing line, on the new paradigm side, you see "bootstrapping". Bootstrapping is shown as that singular act by which we become part of the emerging paradigm, of the guided evolution of society.

Bootstrapping social-systemic change

The poster is conceived as an invitation to begin to bootstrap – and in that way join the emerging paradigm as an aware and active participant.

The poster is interactive; the QR codes open up files with further information (they are also hyperlinks, so that also the digital version of the poster is interactive). The "bootstrapping" thread leads to the QR code and file with an interactive online version of the poster – where it's possible to post comments, and in that way be part of the online dialog, through which the presented ideas, and the poster itself, are developed further.

The core insights of giants (and also some other insights, as we shall see) are represented by icons, rendered as vignettes, and combined into threads. By weaving the threads into patterns, and patterns into a gestalt, the central "key point" is reached.

We use vignettes to render abstract and high-level ideas accessible. In this brief summary, we cannot possibly tell each of the 12 vignettes that are presented on the poster! And yet if we only describe them abstractly, we risk to lose the zest and the reality touch.

So what we'll do is a compromise: We'll sketch a couple of vignette in some detail; and we'll give only a gesture drawing of all the rest.


Wiener's paradox

No communication – no control

Let's begin with the first thread, in the upper left corner.

The issue here is the steering of "spaceship Earth" (as Fuller called it, he too 50 years ago), whether its pilots can at all navigate or not – which should be of some interest if we indeed are living in a "runaway world" (as Giddens diagnosed), and if we indeed must find a way to change course (as Peccei claimed).

Norbert Wiener was recognized as exceptionally gifted while he was still a child. He studied mathematics, zoology and philosophy, and finally got his doctorate in mathematical logic from Harvard, when he was only 17. Wiener went on to do seminal work in several fields, one of which was cybernetics.

The following excerpt from Wiener's 1948 book Cybernetics (the science of steering), specifically from its last chapter titled "Information, Language and Society", will get us started.

There is a belief, current in many countries, which has been elevated to the rank of an official article of faith in the United States, that free competition is itself a homeostatic process (...). Unfortunately, the evidence, such as it is, is against this simple-minded theory.

Interpret "homeostatic process" as "steering" are you've got Wiener's point.

Or to be exact – one half of Wiener's point.

The other half is that our communication is broken. How else could we believe in this "simple-minded theory", Wiener argues, considering what von Neumann and Morgenstern (another pair of giants; Von Neumann's history is parallel to Wiener's; his many seminal achievements include the digital computer architecture that is still in use) found by studying the game theory (which they founded together). And Wiener continues by summarizing their insights, and explaining how they are confirmed by everyday experience.

The invisible hand wins

We've talked about Erich Jantsch's seminal ideas in Federation through Stories, so let's just fast-forward to Ronald Reagan and to this thread's conclusion.

In 1980, when Erich Jantsch passed away, Ronald Reagan became the 40th U.S. president. His message to the world – his winning agenda – was

In our present crisis, government is not the solution to our problem. Government is the problem
which, of course, meant that "the invisible hand" of the market is the only thing we can rely on.

By voting in this way, the American people didn't ignore only the core messages of Norbert Wiener and Erich Jantsch, but also thousands of articles in cybernetics (or more generally the systems sciences) and game theory.

There's no need for censorship

So by following this thread, we've reached also the second point (which is really what the Wiener's paradox as pattern is pointing to) – namely that academic research may not have any impact on public opinion – on pivotal issues whatsoever!

In a society where the powerful media are used to only broadcast information, it's no longer the strength of the argument, but the campaign dollars and the "air time" they buy that decides what we the people are going to think and believe.

And what direction "spaceship Earth" is going to take.

See this video snippet where Ronald Reagan says

We believe then, and now, there are no limits to growth, and human progress, when men and women are free to follow their dreams

to get an idea how also the effects of The Club of Rome's "The Limits to Growth" study could have been erased.


TO BE CONTINUED...